AFL Tips Round 10, AFL Tipping 2018: Round Preview and Expert Analysis

COLLINGWOOD vs WESTERN BULLDOGS @ Etihad Stadium, Friday Night 7.50pm

The Bulldogs stumbled in their attempt to win 4 games in a row last week as they fell short in Monsoon-like conditions against the Crows, having kicked their lowest total as a club since 1996 with a score of 2.14 (26). You better believe that Luke Beveridge will be wanting a better performance from his men, however in their way is a much improved Collingwood side who are desperate to play finals football this year. Jordan De Goey is the man down at the Lexus centre right now, booting 12 goals combined in the past 3 games and is repaying the faith that the pies hierarchy have shown in him for his off-field indiscretions the last two years. The Western Bulldogs may welcome back club stalwart Dale Morris after he has recovered from a partial tear to his ACL sustained in the preseason and his inclusion couldn’t come at a better time as he may be just the man to curtail De Goeys influence on the game. The Pies comfortably disposed of the Saints at Etihad in round 9 and will fancy their chances to do the same this week, however, don’t count out the Bulldogs in this matchup as an upset could easily be on the cards.

James Corbin’s Free AFL Tip: Collingwood +8.5 ($1.22)

Russell Adams’ Free AFL Tip: Western Bulldogs +32.5 ($1.41)

RICHMOND vs ST KILDA @ MCG, Saturday Afternoon 1.45pm

The top of the table clash came and went in round 9 and the former number 1 Tigers found themselves outclassed against the Eagles. After losing two games interstate this season and nearly being knocked over by North Melbourne two weeks ago at Etihad, some murmurings are starting to emerge about the Tigers and whether or not they are the new “flat track bullies” as any game away from their home the MCG seems to be a big challenge for them.

Luckily for the Tigers, that’s exactly where this match is being played and facing an out of form St Kilda will be just what the doctor ordered following a week where they were left licking their wounds from Perth. If Richmond is to win this week, they may need to do so without spearhead Jack Riewoldt who was coughing up blood after a hard knock from the Eagles game. St Kilda continued on with their inaccurate ways in 2018, registering yet another game where they kicked more behinds than goals, however they did show glimpses that things may be starting to turn around slowly for the club as they found themselves in the lead at halftime against the pies which was the first time they had managed to do so since round 5.

Conditions won’t be a factor this Saturday afternoon under the roof of Etihad but hunger for the contest will be and it’s hard to see Richmond losing two weeks in a row especially against a young St Kilda line up trying to find their identity.

James Corbin’s Free AFL Tip: Game total over 160.5 ($1.90)

Russell Adams’ Free AFL Tip: Richmond team total over 100.5 ($1.67)

Our BEST Tip for This Match: Premium Members – Read Here

BRISBANE vs SYDNEY @ GABBA, Saturday Afternoon 4.35pm

Buddy is back and its no coincidence that the Swans kicked their 2nd biggest score of the year with him back in the lineup, Franklin chipped in with 3 goals in his first game in about a month and there is no telling how many he could kick this week against a Lions side who have conceded the 2nd most points against this season.

Buddy isn’t the only thing back in football this past week, Brisbane being in the winner’s column is also back! With an emphatic win over the Hawks to the tune of 59 points. The Lions had shown glimpses over the past few weeks that they had been improving with an uptick in point scored but last Sunday they finally put a 4 quarter effort together and once they got the taste of blood, they ran over the top of the Hawks.

Brisbane will want to play a more free-wielding brand of football and attack the Swans with pace and through the middle but the Swans will want to make it a more contested affair and flex their muscle through dominating the clearances. Although both sides sit on opposite ends of the ladder, this match proves to be a tantalising affair and if the Lions can withstand the early onslaught that is sure to come from the swans in the opening quarter like they did against the Hawks then don’t be surprised to see the young Lions gain belief and take it up to the Swans.

James Corbin’s Free AFL Tip: Sydney to Win ($1.28)

Russell Adams’ Free AFL Tip: Game total over 160.5 ($1.32)

Ladbrokes: First Bet Match Up to $250

GEELONG vs CARLTON @ GMHBA, Saturday Night 7.25pm

The Cats were sent packing back to the Country with their tails between their legs by a more desperate Essendon outfit and in the aftermath of what happened were left pondering where exactly it all went wrong. Geelong was restricted to only 50 points at the MCG and Tom Hawkins was a non-factor all day even though he kicked 3 goals on the day, which all came in junk time when the game was done and dusted.

The Cats haven’t quite figured out the best combination yet in which to play Ablett, Dangerfield and Selwood together through the midfield and forward line and for such a talented team on paper they really should not be sitting outside the 8 as they currently are. One reason for their inconsistent form may be because they do not have a ruckman who they believe in on their list and this week that area of weakness will be put under the test against Matthew Kreuzer who is sure to win the majority of hitouts on the day.

Patrick Cripps is a beast of a man and has become the quickest player to reach 1,000 contested possession since the AFL has been recording players stats. If you’re a Carlton supporter the only thing that may be getting you through games is watching the likes of Charlie Curnow, Patrick Cripps, Paddy Dow and Petrevski-Seton develop in front of your eyes each week, but after a 109 point thumping to Melbourne last week we don’t blame any Blues supporters if they are dreading what will happen playing away against a Geelong team with a point to prove.

James Corbin’s Free AFL Tip: Geelong 1st quarter line -11.5 ($1.95)

Russell Adams’ Free AFL Tip: Geelong 1st quarter score over 26.5 ($1.85)

Our BEST Tip for This Match: Premium Members – Read Here

GREATER WESTERN SYDNEY vs ESSENDON @ Spotless Stadium, Saturday Night 7.25pm

Well, the inconceivable has finally happened, the Giants have lost 3 in a row and have only managed one win in the past 5 rounds and that was over a bottom-placed Brisbane. In fact things have become such a struggle in Western Sydney that the highest score the club has been able to manufacture over this 5 week period has just been 77 points, which for a club who were touted as premiership contenders at the start of the year and who boast so many top end draft picks is really telling with where their confidence is at.

Alarm bells are not ringing at the moment because of the massive injury list the club is currently dealing with but a 4th loss in a row at the hands of the Bombers who aren’t travelling spectacularly themselves and it might be good night Irene on the Giants premiership hopes for season 2018.

That’s exactly what most of the media experts have decided for the Bombers and have labelled this season a wasted opportunity for the club, as they showed against quality opposition in their 3 wins over the Crows, Power and Cats that they have the personnel who are good enough to play finals. The Bombers would need a lot to go right for them in the second half of the season if they are to be a remote chance of making the top 8, perhaps back to back wins over Geelong and the Giants may spur them in the right direction and they can put a little run together.

We are not convinced yet and believe the Giants at home will do everything possible in their power to avoid that 4th consecutive loss.

James Corbin’s Free AFL Tip: Essendon +30.5 ($1.40)

Russell Adams’ Free AFL Tip: GWS to Win ($1.43)

Our BEST Tip for This Match: Premium Members – Read Here

HAWTHORN vs WEST COAST @ Etihad Stadium, Sunday Afternoon 1.10pm

It’s official, West Coast are legitimate premiership contenders and if it wasn’t for their patchy form at the MCG they would be outright favourites to win the Flag.

If there was ever a year that a player who is not a midfielder could win the Brownlow medal then this may be it, Jack Darling has been in that good of form that he has been stealing the show in the majority of the Eagles victories. His 6 goal best on ground effort against a backline consisting of Rance and Astbury is no small accomplishment and Darling will be salivating at the prospect of lining up on a Hawthorn defence, whose greatest weakness is containing contested marking key forwards.

Not only do the Hawks have to limit Jack darling in kicking goals but they must also devise a strategy to take Josh Kennedy out of the game also who popped up for a quiet 3 goals alongside LeCras in the win against the Tigers.

Unfortunately with how good of form the Eagles forward line is in, we just don’t see how a combination of Mirra. Frawley or Brand can restrict West Coasts key forwards to a reasonable total. The Hawks have pulled the wool over most of the publics eyes so far this season with their great start to the year but chinks in their armour have started to appear and we are getting a clearer picture at just where the club is at, and that is they are in a transition phase trying to blood games into youngsters such as Worpel, Mitchell Lewis and James Cousins whilst still trying to stay competitive in the meanwhile. That will be Hawthorns best hope for this week, that they can keep the game against the Eagles somewhat competitive and not be blown out of the park.

James Corbin’s Free AFL Tip: Hawthorn +30.5 ($1.22)

Russell Adams’ Free AFL Tip: West Coast to win ($1.70)

MELBOURNE vs ADELAIDE @ TIO Traeger Park, Sunday Afternoon 3.20pm

Rain, hail or shine, there is one thing the Demons know how to do, and that is kick goals and kick lots of them. In the past 4 weeks, they have averaged nearly 20 goals per game and an average score of just under 130 points a game. That is a phenomenal turn around for a club who in round 5 was basically written off after back to back losses to Hawthorn and Richmond.

Like the Bulldogs of last week, the Demons will face the Crows, and with that, a better indication of where the club is actually at will be had as besides the Kangaroos, the Demons haven’t really beaten any quality teams so far.

A certainty for this match will be that a lot of emotion will be shown between the two teams, as this will be the first game Jake Lever will face his old side since jumping ship for a bigger pay cheque and Melbourne Co-captain Jack Viney was quoted on SEN on Monday as saying he is “ready to rumble” should anything go down during the match. The only thing saving Lever from receiving a battering from his old teammates is that Tex Walker is a likely chance to miss yet again with a glute / hamstring injury, but he is listed down as a test in the injury report and if he is passed fit we can be assured that fireworks will be sure to go off in Darwin on Sunday.

The Biffo aside, this will definitely be the match of the round with both teams in form and sitting 3rd and 4th on the ladder.

James Corbin’s Free AFL Tip: Adelaide +24.5 ($1.22)

Russell Adams’ Free AFL Tip: Wire to wire – Any other result ($2.00)

Neds: First Bet Match Up to $500 - Claim Your Bonus Bets (AFL Betting)

FREMANTLE vs NORTH MELBOURNE @ Optus Stadium, Sunday Afternoon 4.400pm

 

North Melbourne has proven to be a better team than most gave them credit for before the season started. Being so young, they’ve also proven to be inconsistent, exchanging wins and losses over the past 5 rounds. Their opponents – Fremantle – are a team in a similar situation, and have yet to string together a consistent patch of winning football.

Both teams sit just 4 points apart on the ladder, with the Kangaroos positioned at 7th and the Dockers at 12th, but the percentage difference could be the key indicator in determining who will come out on top.

North Melbourne boasts a healthy percentage of 118 while Fremantle are struggling considerably in this department, with a percentage of 87.5. This tells us that the Kangaroos have found a better balance between playing attacking and defensive football and are the more reliable side of the two. But that reliability counts for nothing, as the Kangaroos have only been able to beat the Dockers 3 times out of the last 10 games played in Perth.

The last match of the round is sure to be an intriguing affair and we will see if the percentage difference, in the end, does become a true indicator in picking which club is in better form then the other.

James Corbin’s Free AFL Tip: North Melbourne +26.5 ($1.22)

Russell Adams’ Free AFL Tip: North Melbourne to win ($2.05)

Our BEST Tip for This Match: Premium Members – Read Here

Where to Bet on the AFL this Week?

*NEW ACC ONLY, EXC NSW, SA, WA & VIC. TURNOVER REQUIREMENTS APPLY. SEE T&CS ON WEBSITE.

Russell Adams

A football tragic doesn't begin to describe Russell when it comes to describing his love for the AFL. If you can't find him at a match at the G, you'll find him at the park having a kick or watching Fox Footy taking in every game from the week. It's true, Aussie Rules does run through this mans veins! He has made it his lifelong passion to deliver knowledgeable tips using various systems and metrics in order to give you, the punter, the best chance to profit from the sport he loves.