AFL Tips Round 13, AFL Tipping 2018: Round Preview and Expert Analysis

PORT ADELAIDE vs WESTERN BULLDOGS @ Adelaide Oval, Thursday Night 7.50pm

Thursday night footy is back and it’s our favourite time of year to rug up in the cold and help break up the mundane midweek routine. The 8th placed Power host the 14th placed Bulldogs and both teams form couldn’t be any further apart, with the Power having won 3 out of their last 4 and the Bulldogs having lost 3 out of their last 4.

Luke Beveridge will be hoping his players are feeling revitalised after their midseason break and can put their scoring woes behind them. Whilst Port Adelaide, on the other hand, will be hoping they can keep their momentum trending in the right direction after an impressive win over the premiership favourite Tigers at home last week.

The weather forecast for Thursday night looks to be another wet game in Adelaide for the Bulldogs in their second visit to Adelaide oval for the year, and we expect the slippery conditions to play a significant factor in the game. The Power will be too strong in the end for the Bulldogs, but expect another low scoring and resilient effort in the first half by the visitors in similar conditions as when they played the Crows back in round 9.

Sports Guru’s Free AFL Tip: Port Adelaide to win ($1.13)

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SYDNEY vs WEST COAST @ SCG, Friday Night 7:50pm

It’s true, the West Coast Eagles haven’t won in Sydney since back in 1999 and will have their hands full if they are to change that statistic on Friday night, given the form the Swans are in. Sydney absolutely decimated the Saints in the first quarter last week and are starting to assert their dominance once again over the competition, comfortably sitting in the top 4.

The Swans have had their struggles at home this season, we can’t take much away from their recent wins at the venue over the weaker opposition in Fremantle and Carlton. Facing the league leaders in West Coast will be a true test in just how much the Swans are clicking back on their home track.

The Eagles have the tools to cause an upset against the Swans and have shown some classy form away from home this season. This will certainly go down to the wire and will be the match of the round.

Sports Guru’s Free AFL Tip: West Coast +33.5 ($1.29)

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CARLTON vs FREMANTLE @ Etihad stadium, Saturday Afternoon 1.45pm

As to be expected with any young team, consistency seems to be the biggest hurdle for both Fremantle and Carlton midway through the season. Fremantle showed in their upset win over Adelaide that the talent is there within the squad, it’s just a matter of believing they are capable of producing that level of football on a regular basis.

Carlton haven’t the same amount of wins as their opponents but they will be seeing this matchup as a real chance for them to grind out a win against another inexperienced group. Jack Silvagni it appears has been reinvented into a midfielder, whilst Jacob Weitering has shown much poise in defence and both have added a fresh dynamic to the Blues since their return.

Fremantle welcome back the suspended Nat Fyfe, who will no doubt go head to head against Patrick Cripps but they also lose Michael Walters who was found guilty for striking and given a one-match ban. Meanwhile, Carlton may welcome back Key Forward Levi Casboult into the fold, as he is listed as a test now that the bye has been completed.

Sports Guru’s Free AFL Tip: Wire to Wire: Any other result ($2.10)

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GOLD COAST vs ST KILDA @ Metricon Stadium, Saturday Afternoon 4.35pm

Two of the most out of form sides in the competition face off up in the Gold Coast for Saturday’s twilight game. The Saints looked like they were starting to get things back on track with a couple of respectable back to back performances against competition heavyweights Richmond and West Coast.

However, all the confidence was quickly stolen away from the group in the first quarter against the swans where they were left trailing by a whopping 8 goals at the quarter time break. The Suns didn’t fare much better, as they too were smacked last week to the tune of 108 points. In fact, things have been so bad lately for the Suns, they have only managed to score an average of 34 points a game over the past few weeks. The bright side for both teams is that things can’t get any worse for them, at least we don’t think they can. Both teams have virtually hit rock bottom and the winner of this contest has the chance to save a whisker of pride for their supporter base, as unfortunately, both teams are out of finals contention.

Sports Guru’s Free AFL Tip: St Kilda 1st quarter total points over 15.5 ($1.51)

HAWTHORN vs ADELAIDE @ MCG, Saturday Night 7.25pm

Shaun Burgoyne will be celebrating his 350th match on Saturday night in front of an adoring crowd at the MCG, and what an achievement it has been for him to reach this milestone.

Burgoyne was recruited to the Hawks at the end of 2009 as a 26-year-old with a serious knee injury and was seen to have left his best football days behind him. 9 seasons down the track and Burgoyne has proved to be the best recruit in the clubs history and has proven himself to be a durable and classy match winner, who many credit as being the driving force behind the Hawks dynasty. If there was ever a game where teammates wanted to win a match for a club legend in his milestone game, this would definitely have to be it.

The Crows have lost their way in recent weeks and although much of that can be attributed to their injuries, whenever a highly rated club loses 4 out of their last 5 matches the alarm bells begin to sound. Adelaide will be hoping that Tom Lynch and Rory Laird will be available this week as they will need all hands on deck from their best 22 if they are to stop the rot of losses and grab an away win.

Sports Guru’s Free AFL Tip: Wire to Wire any other result ($2.10)

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RICHMOND vs GEELONG @ MCG, Sunday Afternoon 3.20pm

The Tigers are beginning to look mortal after their loss to Port Adelaide and we are beginning to see a weakness in the side. The weakness is clear and it is that the Tigers don’t travel away from home well and when their depth is tested, their reserves players aren’t quite up to scratch to meet the demands of high intensity AFL footy.

The Tigers are expected to welcome Dustin Martin back after he missed the last game with calf tightness, however, both Dion Prestia and Bachar Houli are still quite a few weeks away. So the depth of the Tiger will be tested once again.

Geelong is doing everything right and showed North Melbourne who’s Boss down at the Cattery last week, with an impressive 37 point win. Gary Ablett again starred with 34 disposals and a goal, whilst Tom Hawkins pitched in with 3 goals of his own in the dominant win. The cats may be flying high and notching up the wins at GMHBA stadium but when it comes to the games played at the MCG this season, they are only going at a 50% success rate.

If there is one thing we can confidently say about the Tigers, it is that no one plays the MCG like they do. They are an absolute force on the wide expanses of the “G” and their game style of running in waves, winning contested footy and then spreading into space for an open goal is suited down to a Tee at the MCG.

Sports Guru’s Free AFL Tip: First Quarter winner, Richmond ($1.62)

Where to Bet on the AFL this Week?


Russell Adams

A football tragic doesn't begin to describe Russell when it comes to describing his love for the AFL. If you can't find him at a match at the G, you'll find him at the park having a kick or watching Fox Footy taking in every game from the week. It's true, Aussie Rules does run through this mans veins! He has made it his lifelong passion to deliver knowledgeable tips using various systems and metrics in order to give you, the punter, the best chance to profit from the sport he loves.