AFL Tips Round 16, AFL Tipping 2018: Round Preview and Expert Analysis
SYDNEY vs GEELONG @ SCG, Thursday Night 7.20pm
Two top 8 teams face off again in Thursday night footy and both teams are coming off a loss, so we shall be in for a treat as neither want to fall back into the pack.
Sydney will be without Isaac Heeney as he recovers from a concussion suffered against the Tigers and Gary Rohan who has been out of sorts of late and may be carrying an injury himself. Geelong has no injuries from last week’s shock loss against the Bulldogs, but have made two changes with Scott Selwood and Jamaine Jones coming in for youngsters Jordan Cunico and James Parsons.
Harry Taylor will be feeling the weight of the world on his shoulders after missing a goal after the siren to snatch the win for the Cats, so look out for him to redeem himself this week.
Free AFL Tip: Geelong to win ($1.70)
RICHMOND vs ADELAIDE @ MCG, Friday Night 7:50 pm
The Crows got their revenge earlier on the Tigers at the Adelaide Oval this season but now the true test is if they can achieve the same feat at the MCG. We all know how well the Tigers play at the G, so it will take a monumental effort by the Crows to get the win.
The Crows welcomed back a bevvy of stars back into the side last week and it paid dividends as the club managed their first win since round 9. Adding Sloane, Laird, Brown and skipper Taylor Walker back into the side over the past two weeks has really made a difference to the confidence of the Crows.
The Tigers will, unfortunately, be without the luckless Reece Conca who can’t seem to catch a break on the injury front as he dislocated his ankle against the Swans. Another pep talk at half-time by Jack “Snags” Higgins will fire up the Tigers and they should be too strong for the Crows again at the home of footy.
Free AFL Tip: Richmond to win ($1.25)
BRISBANE LIONS vs CARLTON @ GABBA, Saturday Afternoon 1.45pm
This match might as well be re-named the Jack Lukosius cup, as the Loser of the clash will be in prime position to draft the young South Australian key forward with the number pick.
The Lions weren’t just impressive over their win away against the Dockers last week, they looked like a team on a mission after the dismantling. In fact, it’s the type of win that can galvanise a young group like the Lions and breathe confidence into the group moving forward.
Charlie Curnow is slowly but surely elevating his game to the elite level, which is quite an achievement considering he has only been in the AFL for two and a half seasons.
The Blues have made 4 changes whilst the Lions have kept the same line up that was so successful in round 15. Carlton has named one of their strongest sides of the season with the inclusions of Thomas, Marchbank, Kreuzer and youngster Lochie O’Brien, so expect this match to be a close affair.
Free AFL Tip: Brisbane to win ($1.38)
PORT ADELAIDE vs ST KILDA @ Adelaide Oval, Saturday Afternoon 4.05pm
The Power have one 4 on the trot now and are sitting 5th on the ladder, only being out of the top 4 by a slender percentage. Jack Trengove made his debut for the club in the win against the Blues and has kept his spot in the starting 22, which will be encouraging for the once injury-prone star.
St Kilda come into this game with mixed emotions as they would be flying high on the fact that they managed an upset in a thriller against the Demons at the G. However they have a raft of injuries to key position players, namely Nathan Brown, Jake Carlisle, Josh Battle and Josh Bruce which will put a strain on the depth at the club.
This will be an interesting battle as both teams seem to be capturing form after the bye, however, with all the injuries to the Saints in the past week, it will be hard to not pick the Power in this one.
Free AFL Tip: Port Adelaide to win ($1.11)
MELBOURNE vs FREMANTLE @ TIO Stadium, Saturday Night 7.10pm
The Demons are one of the most unreliable teams in the competition it seems, just when it looks like they have worked out a system and are playing to their strengths they manage to invent new ways to disappoint their fans by dropping games they shouldn’t.
The poor form hasn’t gone unnoticed by Coach Simon Goodwin and he has swung the axe at the selection table by making 4 changes. The name which is most notable in the inclusions is Jeff Garlett as he has not played since round 5, he will be looking to make his presence felt and popping up for a few goals to keep his spot in the side.
The Dockers have lost both Sandilands and Fyfe with the latter missing the next 5 weeks with a hamstring injury. On the bright side, Bradley Hill’s return from injury couldn’t come at a better time as it coincides with his brother’s Stephen 200th game.
Free AFL Tip: Melbourne to win ($1.13)
WESTERN BULLDOGS vs HAWTHORN @ Etihad Stadium, Saturday Night 7.25pm
It may only be one win from their last 6 games but what a win it was for the young Bulldogs as they shocked the Cats and showed that they were back to the intensity of play that won them a grand final in 2016.
Lin Jong was the late replacement in last week’s game but we bet he wishes he hadn’t been after the fan favourite unluckily broke his collarbone for the second time in the first quarter. Bailey Williams who has been having a breakout season will also miss the clash against the Hawks with a foot injury.
The Hawks loss to the Giants has put their September aspirations on the back burner and it will be an uphill battle for the club to make the finals even with the benefit of an easier draw in the second half of the season.
The announcement of AFL Legend Cyril Rioli retirement will be sure to rock the Hawthorn faithful, so keep an eye out for the Bulldogs to catch them off guard at Etihad on Saturday night.
Free AFL Tip: Western Bulldogs to win ($2.70)
NORTH MELBOURNE vs GOLD COAST @ Etihad Stadium, Sunday Afternoon 1.10pm
The Kangaroos put on one of the more entertaining games of the season last week against the Bombers but will be disappointed in themselves for two reasons. First, is that they lost the game and the second that no defensive pressure was applied at all by North during the loss.
Expect a very low scoring game on Gold Coasts behalf as the Kangaroos will tighten the screws and look to salvage their percentage, as percentage will be a critical factor come the end of the year.
Rory Thompson will play his 100th game for the Suns and will be hoping his teammates can put together a competitive contest and sneak away with the win, so he can celebrate the milestone in style.
Free AFL Tip: North Melbourne to win ($1.09)
ESSENDON vs COLLINGWOOD @ Etihad Stadium, Sunday Afternoon 3.20pm
What a thrilling affair we have on our hands when we have two of the most in-form sides of the competition facing each other for Sunday footy. The Bombers have made a complete turnaround with their season and are looking like the side everyone tipped them to be after they unveiled their new recruits in the offseason.
The Bombers look fast, daring and unified out on the footy field and it’s no surprise they have won 5 games from their last 6. If they keep this form up, September footy may just be on the cards.
The Magpies continue being hit by injury and the latest players to be ruled out long-term for the pies are key position pair Lyndon Dunn and Ben Reid. Luckily the Pies have quite a deep a squad and it’s a testament to their recruiting department that new recruits such as Brody Mihocek and Jaidyn Stephenson can step up and play a critical role for the club.
Free AFL Tip: Essendon to win ($2.30)
WEST COAST vs @ GIANTS, Optus Stadium Sunday Afternoon 4.40pm
Things keep going from bad to worse for the Eagles, as now another forward line player has been ruled out. That makes it 4 players out in as many weeks from their forward line, surely the club is becoming bereft of options as now they turn to Nathan Vardy in hopes that he can provide a much-needed avenue for goal.
The Giants are tracking in the opposite direction as their opponents as they are looking to make it 5 wins in a row and cement their spot in the top Eight. Currently sitting 6th on the ladder, the club must not rest on their laurels as they are only in the Eight by 2 points and a loss against the Eagles can see them drop as far as 10th on the ladder.
Jonathon Patton tragically ruptured his ACL for a third time at training in a marking contest on Thursday, and both the club and he will be feeling very down about the injury. The injury is compounded by the fact that Jeremy Cameron is serving a lengthy suspension and now the Giants are left with a massive void in their forward line, much like the Eagles. Expect a low scoring game by two teams that are facing so many injuries to their attacking players.
Free AFL Tip: Under 164.5 ($1.88)
Where to Bet on the AFL this Week?
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