Houston Astros vs Detroit Tigers
MLB: 06.40 PM EST
September 11, 2018
The Houston Astros (90-54; 1st in AL West) enjoyed the spoils of former Detroit ace Justin Verlander in an emotional 3-2 win over the host Tigers (59-85; 3rd in AL Central) on Monday night. Houston will look to extend their league-best 50-22 ledger away from Minute Maid Park in another game under the lights in the Motor City on Tuesday.
STARTING PITCHERS: Houston LHP Framber Valdez (3-1, 1.37 ERA) vs. Detroit RHP Jordan Zimmermann (7-6, 4.03 ERA)
Rookie southpaw Framber Valdez will take the hill for the visiting Astros, and he’s been very good thus far in his young career, albeit in a small sample size. He’s gone at least four innings and allowed one earned run or fewer in each of his first four career starts, totaling under 20 innings pitched in the majors, but still a cause for optimism. The Tigers will counter with longtime rotation mainstay Jordan Zimmermann, who’s turned in another solid campaign at the top of the Detroit rotation. The burly right-hander has pitched to a very respectable 3.09 ERA against the Astros in his career, but this will be his first time out against Houston in 2018.
We nailed yesterday’s play taking the heavy underdog Tigers to cover the spread, and I feel good about going back to the well on this pick. Detroit, despite a pretty ugly overall season record, has played .500 baseball at Comerica Park in 2018, and will have the benefit of a well-established starter in Zimmermann anchoring them on Tuesday night. Valdez has pitched well thus far but is still somewhat of a wild card due to his lack of league exposure. Detroit pretty starkly performs better when facing left-handed pitching (.263/.319/.406, vs. .243/.301/.383 against RHP), so I’m taking the Tigers to cover again against the defending champs.
Our Free MLB Pick: Detroit Tigers +2.5