Port Adelaide Power vs Geelong Cats

AFL: 7.40 PM AEST

April 21, 2018

HOME TEAM

The Powers lights were put out last week at Etihad stadium at the hands of the enigmatic Bombers, to much of the surprise of the football public. However the signs were there for everyone to see in round 3, as a lack lustre Power barely stumbled across the winners line against a now 0 – 4 Lions outfit. The impact of number 1 ruckman Paddy Ryders absence is surely taking a toll as the Power currently rank 13th for Hitouts with an average of 32.8 a game, luckily for them this area of weakness should be a non-factor as Geelong averages the same per game.

AWAY TEAM

Sitting 2-2 from their opening 4 rounds the maimed cats just keep on keeping on! Chris Scott really does have an amazing system in place down at the Cattery, where if one man goes down we see another come in and play his role for the team seamlessly. An example, Tim Clark stepping into the Cats midfield for the then-injured Dangerfield and the now-injured Ablett. However, how much longer can the Cats keep calling upon their youngsters and asking them to perform at such a consistent rate?

ANALYSIS

The Power will be looking to even up the win / loss ratio against the Cats at their home turf of Adelaide Oval. From the 3 games played between the 2 clubs at the oval, The Cats have won the past 2 encounters whilst the Power won the very first game the clubs played here back in 2014. This match will be decided by which of the two teams 16th – 22nd ranked players perform better on the night. We already know what to expect from the likes of Dangerfield, Selwood, Robbie Gray and Boak. It’s the lesser likes such as Ratugolea, Henry, Cunico, Fogarty and how they will fair against Ports less established players such as Dougal Howard, Marshall and Neade.

THE ODDS

Port Adelaide are the favourites in this one starting at $1.53 whilst the bookies have the line sitting at approximately a 2 goal margin at -11.5 points and the over / under is at 178.5

OUR VERDICT

Despite the fact The Cats have an impressive 13 wins from the past 14 games played against Port we see them dropping this one as the injuries are just too much to ignore. The Cats will hang tough and stick around with the Power for most of the match, but in the end, the Power will prove to have just too much run in their legs and rebound the ball out of their back half too frequently for the Geelong forwards to keep up.

Final Score Prediction: Port Adelaide by 17

Our Free Betting Pick: Power 1-39

Russell Adams

A football tragic doesn't begin to describe Russell when it comes to describing his love for the AFL. If you can't find him at a match at the G, you'll find him at the park having a kick or watching Fox Footy taking in every game from the week. It's true, Aussie Rules does run through this mans veins! He has made it his lifelong passion to deliver knowledgeable tips using various systems and metrics in order to give you, the punter, the best chance to profit from the sport he loves.